In a not-so-surprising twist, S&P Global has painted a rather grim picture for the future of debt levels in major economies, including the United States, France, and Italy. According to their latest report, the debt rollercoaster is unlikely to slow down anytime soon.
With elections looming in the U.S. and other major European nations, politicians are busy making grand promises about improving economies and enhancing social services. But S&P Global isn’t buying it. They’ve crunched the numbers and the results are, well, not encouraging. For these governments to stabilize their debt, they’d need to improve their primary balance by over 2% of GDP. And let’s be real, that’s a tall order within the next three years.
So, what’s keeping these economies from reining in their debt? It’s all about the borrowing conditions. Unless there’s a drastic change – like a sharp rise in borrowing costs – don’t expect any radical budgetary tightening from the G7 nations. It seems that politicians are more focused on winning votes than on tackling the debt issue head-on, especially during this critical election period.
In short, S&P Global’s warning is a stark reminder that the debt drama is far from over. Major economies are likely to keep piling on debt, and unless there’s a significant shift in borrowing conditions, don’t hold your breath for any serious fiscal tightening. The debt saga continues, and it’s shaping up to be a major plotline in the political theater of the next few years.
(Source: S&P Global | Bay Street | Investing.com)
